False-Positive Psychology: Undisclosed Flexibility in Data Collection and Analysis Allows Presenting Anything as Significant
Joseph P. Simmons, Leif D. Nelson & Uri Simonsohn
Ordinary, undisclosed researcher choices - when to stop collecting data, which conditions to drop, which covariates to control for - let a false hypothesis reach statistical significance far more often than the nominal 5% rate, demonstrated by using them to 'prove' an impossible effect.
8 pageslink checked 17 Sept 2026Notes on this copy