Psychology · Judgement & Decision Making
A topic within Judgement & Decision Making, itself one of 12 topics in that field and part of Psychology.
2 works
Amos Tversky & Daniel Kahneman
People estimate probability using a small set of mental shortcuts - representativeness, availability and anchoring - that are useful but produce systematic, predictable errors rather than random noise.
link checked 17 Sept 2026Amos Tversky & Daniel Kahneman
Using the 'Linda problem', shows people routinely judge a detailed, representative scenario as more probable than a broader category that logically includes it, evidence that representativeness can override the basic conjunction rule of probability even among statistically sophisticated participants.