Project Sherlock

Psychology · Judgement & Decision Making

Overconfidence

A topic within Judgement & Decision Making, itself one of 12 topics in that field and part of Psychology.

Reading on Overconfidence

2

2 works

Paper2008

The Trouble with Overconfidence

Don A. Moore & Paul J. Healy

Distinguishes three things called overconfidence - overestimating one's own performance, overplacing it relative to others, and overprecision about how sure one is - and shows they respond to different conditions and can even point in opposite directions on hard tasks.

link checked 17 Sept 2026

Other topics in Judgement & Decision Making