Psychology · Judgement & Decision Making
Hindsight Bias
A topic within Judgement & Decision Making, itself one of 11 topics in that field and part of Psychology.
Reading for Judgement & Decision Making
2Start here
No prior grounding assumed.
- BookThinking, Fast and SlowDaniel Kahneman, 2011
Two systems of thought and a catalogue of the biases produced by the fast one — with several chapters since undermined by replication failures.
Then
Assumes you know the vocabulary.
- PaperJudgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and BiasesAmos Tversky & Daniel Kahneman, 1974· 8 pages
Three heuristics — representativeness, availability, anchoring — explain a wide family of systematic reasoning errors.