Psychology · Judgement & Decision Making
A topic within Judgement & Decision Making, itself one of 12 topics in that field and part of Psychology.
2 works
Neal J. Roese & Kathleen D. Vohs
Reviews hindsight bias as three distinct components - memory distortion, foreseeability and necessity - and argues it is a by-product of otherwise adaptive sense-making rather than a simple memory failure.
Baruch Fischhoff
Once people learn how an event turned out, they overestimate how predictable it was beforehand and often cannot accurately recall their own prior uncertainty, even when explicitly asked to ignore the outcome.
link checked 17 Sept 2026