Decision Making

Topics

• 01Expected Value Thinking
• 02Base Rates
• 03Opportunity Cost
• 04Reversible vs Irreversible Decisions
• 05Decision Trees
• 06Premortems
• 07Second-Order Effects
• 08Optionality
• 09Deciding Under Time Pressure
• 10Decision Journals

Also covered elsewhere

This subject genuinely sits in more than one domain. These fields approach the same ground with different methods.

• PsychologyJudgement & Decision MakingHow people actually decide, as opposed to how models assume they do.
• EconomicsGame Theory & Mechanism DesignStrategic interaction, and designing rules that produce good outcomes.

Elsewhere in Thinking & Personal Effectiveness

• Critical Thinking
• Mental Models & Frameworks
• Probabilistic Thinking & Forecasting
• Writing & Communication
• Reading & Research
• Productivity & Work Systems